Tag Archives: Michael Daly

New business surge leads to double-digit embedded value growth in Asia

Milliman has announced the findings of its study on reported year-end 2016 embedded value (EV) results for 34 major insurance companies operating in Asia, excluding Japan. The report highlights trends among companies reporting EVs and reveals a growth in reported 2016 EV of 15.3% by Asian insurance companies. This was primarily driven by a 40% growth over 2015 in value of new business (VNB) across the region in 2016.

The Milliman 2016 Embedded Value Results: Asia (excl. Japan) report analyses and discusses the EV methodologies and assumptions with the impact of regulations, as well as recent developments in the long-awaited International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 17 reporting regime.

‘The China and Hong Kong markets were the main drivers of the VNB explosion in the region; both having mainland consumers to thank for these results,’ said Milliman principal and consulting actuary Paul Sinnott. ‘Although we have some longer-term concerns about the sustainability of profit margins in the region, recent yield curve rises are relieving some margin pressure in the short term.’

A few key insights from the Asian report include:

• In 2016, total reported Asian EV grew by 15.3%, on a comparable basis, to USD 339 billion from USD 294 billion.
• While some European multinationals reduced their Asian EV reporting last year, there were three companies disclosing EV results for the first time in India, along with the first comprehensive Indian Embedded Value (IEV) disclosure associated with ICICI Prudential’s initial public offering (IPO) in September 2016.
• Life insurance sales continued to rise strongly in the region during 2016. Gross written premium (GWP) is estimated to have increased by 28%, with China’s 43% growth being a major contributor.
• Value of in-force (VIF) increased for all markets. South Korea recorded the largest VIF growth of 31%, mainly from margin-driven growth in VNB across all companies; Hong Kong also posted strong VIF growth of 20%, driven by large volumes of business sold to mainland Chinese visitors.

To download the report, click here.

Mixed outlook for participating business across Asia

Milliman has released the findings of a study analysing and comparing participating (par) business across seven Asian insurance markets, notably Singapore, India, Malaysia, Hong Kong, China, Indonesia and Sri Lanka. The report collates in-depth information not otherwise available and provides insight from survey results about par business in Asia.

‘Par products have been a core insurance offering for many decades in many markets across Asia Pacific and in Singapore, Hong Kong and India they remain a cornerstone of the industry,’ said Richard Holloway, managing director for Milliman’s South East Asia and India life consulting practice. ‘However, increased regulatory scrutiny of par business in countries such as Malaysia and the onset of risk based capital solvency regimes in most markets may lead to a gradual decline in the popularity of such products. This report unlocks key considerations for companies offering par products across the region, highlighting differences in performance, investment approach, and governance of par across the seven markets.’

The ‘Milliman Participating Business in Asia’ report includes:

• A regional view of common themes and differences among the seven selected markets
• Detailed country commentary on par business performance, regulatory environments and key challenges
• Results of our survey providing qualitative insights into par business in these countries
• Analysis of the governance frameworks in place and roles of policyholder advocates

To download the report, click here.

Opportunity exists for private providers in Asia to enter retirement income market

Milliman has released comprehensive new research analyzing the current and future state of the retirement income market in the Asia-Pacific region. The report is based on a survey of over 100 insurance companies and financial institutions across eight countries. The results, along with case studies and in-depth analysis, provide insight into the economic and regulatory factors most affecting Asian retirement income markets, including consumer demand, product development, and opportunities for growth in the industry.

“Across Asia-Pacific, there is the potential for private market providers to complement and fill gaps that exist from government-sponsored retirement systems and employer-sponsored pension arrangements,” said Richard Holloway, managing director for Milliman’s South East Asia and India life consulting practice. “With this report we’re able to gain valuable insight into opportunities that may exist, on a country-by-country basis, and offer perspectives on ways to capitalize.”

“Technology advancements have now made it possible for financial institutions to provide consumers with tailored investment strategies and product solutions to achieve their goals in retirement. The development of robo-advice has begun to gain traction in the superannuation industry in Australia, and we expect the same to occur in Asia in the near future,” said Milliman Australia practice leader Wade Matterson.

Key findings from the report include:

• The vast majority of respondents feel their national retirement systems’ provisions are inadequate—even those traditionally considered to have more advanced systems such as Singapore and Australia.
• Regarding the most important features in a retirement income product, respondents feel consumers would value some type of guarantee, either income or capital protection, with simplicity being a consistent third across most countries.
• When it comes to financial advice, over 60% of participants felt financial advice was needed but 63% cited cost as the primary impediment for consumers.

Interested parties may obtain a copy of the Milliman study here.

Milliman studies implications of the ASEAN Economic Community for the life insurance industry

Milliman today announced the availability of new research into the implications of the transition toward the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community (AEC). With the AEC commencement quickly approaching at the end of this year, Milliman has examined the market characteristics and regulatory environments in each ASEAN country and has launched the Milliman ASEAN Liberalisation Index (MALI), a tool that characterises each member-state’s progress toward the more harmonized regime envisioned when AEC was originally conceived.

MALI is intended to provide a holistic and relative view of each ASEAN life insurance market, covering aspects such as regulatory openness, alignment to international standards, ease of doing business, and adequacy of policyholder protection. The higher the MALI score, the greater the state of liberalization. As may be expected, Singapore has the highest MALI score, confirming the view that it has the most advanced life insurance industry in ASEAN.

“Many insurance executives in the region view the move toward the AEC as advantageous for the industry in the long run, presenting more opportunities for cross-border sales and better exchange of talent,” said Richard Holloway, Milliman’s Managing Director of South East Asia and India Life. “However, each member country faces unique challenges. We are introducing MALI to help the life insurance industry across the region better understand commonalities and differences between the markets and develop appropriate strategies as we advance toward a more unified regime.”

“The requirements and deadlines of AEC as originally conceived may not be attainable short-term,” said Michael Daly, principal and consulting actuary in Milliman’s Hong Kong office. “We may see the emergence of a slimmed-down framework, leaving room for current differences while paving the way to greater integration in the long term. This report details those challenges and helps to identify a way forward.”

To see the full report, click here.

Product considerations for Thai life insurers

A low interest rate environment has stymied the development of Thailand’s life insurance sector. In this Asia Insurance Review article (subscription required), Milliman consultants Michael Daly and Clement Bonnet discuss some product solutions that may help insurers meet their consumer needs.

Here is an excerpt:

What options are available to life insurers in Thailand in the wake of such challenges?

One could adopt a relatively passive “wait and see, ride out the storm” strategy, avoiding any re-pricing of existing products or development of new innovative products, instead subsidising margin compression on new business from profits generated from older business backed by higher-yielding bonds, and hoping fixed interest yields will rise. This strategy obviously carries material risks.

Alternatively, one could be more proactive and re-price existing “guarantee heavy” products. This may boost profit margins, but carries the risk that such products offering less attractive policyholder returns may struggle to sell, especially if competitors do not re-price. It also increases disintermediation risk if fixed interest yields do rise in the future.

Or one could be bolder and make more radical changes to product strategy, seeking to take advantage of areas of untapped potential that have arguably been overshadowed by the plethora of “X pay Y” conventional endowments sold to date.

…Can unit linked business ever be successful in Thailand, as it has nearly everywhere else in Asia? If low interest rates are to become the norm, perhaps there will be greater urgency given to clear some of the stumbling blocks that have historically held back the growth of unit linked business.

In many Asian markets such as Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia, we have seen strong sales of participating products in recent times. The ability of these products to combine upside investment potential with a downside cushion of investment guarantees has proved appealing to customers wanting to avoid locking into non-participating products offering low returns or taking the investment risk associated with unit linked products.

Participating products have been sold in Thailand for many years, of course, but companies offering versions with greater discretionary benefits have historically struggled, and in many cases, participating products are almost indistinguishable from non-participating products.

Asia ERM Newsletter, July 2014

The latest issue of Milliman’s Asia ERM Newsletter authored by Michael Daly, Richard Holloway, Sam Morgan, and Wing Wong, features an in-depth update on the China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS). C-ROSS, China’s first-generation factor-based solvency regulation system, was put into place in 2007 after four years of preparation. It subsequently suffered from the same shortcomings as Europe’s Solvency I, a similar regime.

In 2012 plans and an implementation timeline were announced for a risk-based capital (RBC) solvency framework in China. Get the latest developments in the newsletter, which also includes a report on a recent RBC 2 industry round-table discussion held in Singapore, updates on other developments in China, Taiwan, and Indonesia, and more information of interest to enterprise risk management professionals.